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Analyst Interview Excerpt
SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT COMPANIES: KEVIN VASSILY - SUSQUEHANNA FINANCIAL GROUP


Full article published: 11/10/2003


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TWST: Could we start with an overview of your coverage in this space?
Mr. Vassily: I cover a broad mix of the equipment food chain. In the traditional front-end process companies, I cover Applied Materials (AMAT), Novellus (NVLS), Lam Research (LRCX), and Varian Semiconductor (VSEA). I cover one inspection and metrology company, which is KLA- Tencor (KLAC). In the broadly defined, sub-component and sub-system category, I cover companies like Advanced Energy (AEIS), Asyst (ASYT), FormFactor (FORM), Photronics (PLAB) and MKS Instruments (MKSI). In the back-end and/or packaging area, I cover Ultratech (UTEK), because they're doing lithography for advanced packaging, and also Teradyne (TER) on the test side. I also cover the two major Taiwanese foundries, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) and United Microelectronics (UMC).

TWST: As you look across the group, from a business perspective, what has gone on so far this year?
Mr. Vassily: I think it's pretty clear that we're finally getting the fundamental recovery that people have been waiting for these last two and a half years. Order rates for the group as a whole have started to trend upward. That really started for the majority of the universe back in the March/April time frame. I think from that point forward you're likely to see on average somewhere between 5% and 10% growth in sequential orders, again, including this Q3 and into Q4 and into the first one to two quarters of next year. So we're back on the right slope. We have a positive sign on the slope of the growth curve.

 

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